HDFC Bank shares hit 52-week low, oversold on charts; can they recover? (2024)

Shares of private sector lender HDFC Bank Ltd hit their 52-week low in early trade today, extending losses from last week post Q3 earnings. HDFC Bank shares fell 1.26% to their yearly low of Rs 1459.95 against the previous close of Rs 1478.65 on BSE. The banking stock is trading in the oversold territory as the relative strength index (RSI) of HDFC Bank stands at 24.5.

The stock fell 10% last week after the bank reported earnings for the quarter ended December 2023 on January 16. HDFC Bank stock breached the 52-week low of Rs 1460.55 today reached on October 26, 2023.

Market cap of HDFC Bank fell to Rs 11.12 lakh crore amid a rally in the broader market.

Total 1.04 lakh shares of the firm changed hands amounting to a turnover of Rs 15.18 crore on BSE. HDFC Bank stock has a one-year beta of 0.5. This signals the stock has low volatility.

The large cap stock is trading lower than the 5 day, 10 day, 100 day, 150 day and 200 day moving averages.

The big correction in the banking heavyweight post Q3 earnings was not expected and has unnerved many investors . Here’s is a look at the outlook of the stock amid the ongoing correction.

Global brokerage CLSA has maintained its buy rating on the counter with a target of Rs 2,025 per share. The brokerage has interacted with over 20 clients after Q3 earnings. "While most domestic clients were unhappy, we felt that it was slightly different for foreign investors, many of whom believe that we are near the end of the EPS cuts cycle. Key concerns, though, were about deposits and NIM, or net interest margins.”

Brokerage KR Choksey has assigned a target price of Rs 1950 on the banking stock.

"We value the Bank's standalone business at 2.2 times FY26E P/ABV to Rs 1,716 and the subsidiaries at Rs 233, taking the total value to Rs 1,950 (earlier Rs 2,060 per share), implying an upside of 26.8% from the current price. Accordingly, we maintain a "BUY" rating on the shares of HDFC Bank," it said.

Nuvama has downgraded the stock to ‘hold’ post Q3 earnings.

"We are cutting earnings by 5–6 per cent for FY25E–FY26E. While the cut in core earnings is higher at 8 per cent due to a 4 per cent cut in loan growth, it is partially offset by an upward revision of non-core items. The Bank has exhausted its LCR, will need to lower its LDR and is running slower than guidance on deposit growth. In all, we are lowering the target to Rs 1,730 from Rs 1,770," said the brokerage.

Financial Services firm Motilal Oswal has assigned a target of Rs 1950 to the Banking stock.

The brokerage said HDFC Bank’s margin stood largely flat, which was slightly below its expectations, even as the Bank deployed excess liquidity and significantly drew down the LCR ratio.

"Loan growth was healthy driven by growth in retail and continued traction in Commercial and Rural Banking. Asset quality ratios improved while provision coverage ratio (PCR) also inched up to 75 per cent. The Bank has continued to maintain 0.6 per cent buffer of floating plus contingent provisions, which provides additional comfort. Management suggested that NIMs will improve gradually over the coming years, which along with an improvement in operating leverage will enable the Bank to deliver healthy return ratios," the brokerage added.

HDFC Bank reported a 34 per cent rise in its standalone net profit to Rs 16,373 crore for the third quarter ended December 2023 against Rs 12,259 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal year.

Total income rose to Rs 81,720 crore in the October-December quarter of FY24 against Rs 51,208 crore in the year-ago period.

Disclaimer: Business Today provides stock market news for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Disclaimer: Business Today provides stock market news for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

HDFC Bank shares hit 52-week low, oversold on charts; can they recover? (2024)

FAQs

Is it good to hold HDFC Bank shares? ›

"We value the bank's standalone business at 2.2 times FY26E P/ABV to Rs 1,716 and the subsidiaries at Rs 233, taking the total value to Rs 1,950 (earlier Rs 2,060 per share), implying an upside of 26.8% from the current price. Accordingly, we maintain a "BUY" rating on the shares of HDFC Bank," it said.

What is the future prediction of HDFC stock? ›

HDFC Bank Ltd. has an average target of 1886.82. The consensus estimate represents an upside of 24.22% from the last price of 1518.95. View 52 reports from 13 analysts offering long-term price targets for HDFC Bank Ltd..

Did HDFC Bank fall to a 52-week low? ›

Shares of HDFC Bank hit a 52-week low of Rs 1,363.45, down 2 per cent on the BSE in Wednesday's intra-day. The stock of the country's largest private sector lender was quoting at its lowest level since July 2022 (pre-HDFC merger). It fell below its previous low of Rs 1,382.40 touched on January 24.

Is HDFC Bank share undervalued? ›

Compared to the current market price of 1 482.3 INR, HDFC Bank Ltd is Undervalued by 5%.

Is this right time to invest in HDFC? ›

HDFC Bank is very good stock to invest always for long term. Now it is trading at about 1415 INR levels approx. And after the merger of HDFC AMC in the bank, its price fall quite aggressively. However there is no effect on its price and it's profit margins.

Why all HDFC shares are falling? ›

The slide in HDFC Bank shares started after the country's largest lender reported its Q3FY24 results. While it reported strong growth in net profit, analysts raised concerns about margins.

Is HDFC bullish or bearish? ›

Technical Indicators
IndicatorValueSignal
MACD(12,26)8.20Bullish
ADX(14)25.74Strong Trend
UO(9)58.96Bearish
ROC(12)5.27Uptrend And Accelerating
5 more rows

What will be the share prediction of HDFC Bank in 2025? ›

CLSA reportedly suggested a HDFC Bank target of Rs 2,025, HSBC Rs 1,950, Jefferies Rs 2,000 and Bernstein at Rs 2,200. YES Securities said it will maintain a less-than-bullish 'ADD' rating with an unchanged price target of Rs 2,000 on the stock.

What will be the share price of HDFC Bank in 2025? ›

HDFC Bank Share Price Target (2025)
Month (2025)Maximum TargetMinimumTarget
MarchRs 3,527.22Rs 2,713.24
AprilRs 3,149.30Rs 2,422.54
MayRs 2,863.00Rs 2,202.31
JuneRs 3,149.30Rs 2,422.54
8 more rows
Jan 23, 2024

Is it good to buy at 52 week low? ›

Advantages of investing in 52 Week Low Stocks

Investing near the 52-week low provides a favorable risk-reward ratio, allowing for potential gains with limited downside risk.

What happens when a stock goes below 52 week low? ›

In arguably most circ*mstances, when you see stocks at 52-week lows, you should avoid them. Based on prevailing market theory, equity valuations culminate from the most recent publicly available information. So, when a security falls to a fresh trailing one-year low, it's for a reason and usually not a good one.

What is the disadvantage of HDFC Bank? ›

Drawbacks of HDFC Bank:
  • The bank has limited monthy free transaction. After the the free transaction are used up, they start charging you transaction fee.
  • HDFC is not up to the mark in terms of technology and features availability.
May 3, 2021

What is the target of HDFC Bank share? ›

HDFC Bank share price target: Nomura India said it is currently building in a 15 per cent loan CAGR over FY24-26F, which has downside risks. It reiterated its 'Neutral' rating on the stock with a target of Rs 1,625. HDFC Bank price target: Motilal Oswal Securities suggested a target of Rs 1,950 on the stock.

What is the 10 year return of HDFC Bank? ›

Ten Year Stock Price Total Return for HDFC Bank is calculated as follows: Last Close Price [ 59.40 ] / Adj Prior Close Price [ 19.61 ] (-) 1 (=) Total Return [ 202.9% ] Prior price dividend adjustment factor is 0.94.

Who has highest share in HDFC? ›

However, the shareholding percentage of HDFC Bank includes 25.88% by HDFC, 38.30% by Foreign institutional investors (FII), 4.74%by Qualified institutional buyers, 13.25% by individual shareholders, 2.94% by Insurance companies, 14.57% by mutual funds or Unit Trust of India, 0.4% banks or financial institution, 0.6% by ...

Is HDFC Bank share good for long term? ›

HDFC Bank share price outlook

In the last five years, earnings have grown at 17% CAGR, while market cap growth is only 9%. Thus, we expect the stock to perform well in the long term."

Is HDFC Securities good for long term investment? ›

If you are doing positional trades or long term trades, and not intraday, then Hdfc securities is good for you. Hdfc securities research is really good. This will help you in your positional trades and since trades will be limited, brokerage charges will come down..

Is HDFC Securities good or bad? ›

Yes, HDFC securities is a safe and trusted brokerage firm in India. HDFC Securities is a subsidiary of HDFC bank, one of the top private banks in India. The company provides both online and offline services through its branches. HDFC securities offer 128-bit encryption technology on transactions for secured trading.

How safe is HDFC Securities? ›

Before you commit, you should know whether it is a secure and legit broker. You can rest assured that Hdfc Securities is not a scam but a legitimate entity. This broker is registered with the top-tier Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) in India..

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