Decoding the growth-vs-value performance split (2024)

For much of 2023, narrow market leadership (i.e., the Magnificent Seven stocks) and sizeable valuation gaps among equities widened the performance gap between large-cap growth and large-cap value stocks, with growth outperforming. This trend may create opportunities in value stocks for investors looking ahead to 2024. However, the same return divergence isn’t reflected among small-cap stocks, where growth has consistently underperformed value (illustrated in the accompanying chart by the Russell 2000® small-cap and large cap indexes.)

Decoding the growth-vs-value performance split (2)

One explanation for the performance gap between large and small-cap growth and value is the differences in sector weightings between the Russell indexes. According to FactSet, technology dominates the Russell 1000® Growth Index with a 51% index weighting as of this writing, while financials are the largest sector in the Russell 1000 Index Value with a 20% weighting. However, the sector emphasis is much different for the small-cap Russell 2000 indexes; industrials represent 23% of the Russell 2000 Growth Index, the highest weighting, followed by health care at 21%. For the Russell 2000 Value Index, financial stocks represent the largest weighting at 25%, followed by industrials at 14%.

A second reason for the performance difference may be investors’ increasing confidence in the economic climate as the consensus views coalesce around the “soft landing” scenario. Value stocks have historically consistently outperformed relative to growth when the economy starts to rebound. A third reason from a valuation perspective (using the following 12-month price/earnings ratio) is that the Russell 2000 Value Index continues to trade at historically attractive levels compared to the Russell 2000 Growth Index, a compelling proposition for long-term investors.

Investors looking at small caps should consider that Russell 2000 growth and value indexes have a fair number of non-earning companies, but less so in the Russell 2000 Value Index (around 33%) relative to the Russell 2000 Growth Index (about 37%.) Finally, several sectors in the Russell 2000 Value Index that were punished by the rise in yields earlier this year (including financials, utilities, and real estate) have benefited from the recent decline in interest rates.

Taking a portfolio position in growth and value is a complex decision with many variables. Market volatility can make these decisions more complicated. For most long-term investors, a diversified portfolio with both growth and value exposure would be appropriate for managing the risks of shifting trends between growth and value stocks and large caps versus small caps.

Decoding the growth-vs-value performance split (2024)

FAQs

Decoding the growth-vs-value performance split? ›

Key Points. Growth versus value pits fast-growing stocks with big potential against solid performers that grow more slowly. Growth stocks can be attractive for investors with long time horizons, while value stocks often provide dividend income.

What is the difference between growth and value in performance? ›

For example, value stocks tend to outperform during bear markets and economic recessions, while growth stocks tend to excel during bull markets or periods of economic expansion. This factor should, therefore, be taken into account by shorter-term investors or those seeking to time the markets.

How do you classify growth vs value? ›

Growth and value are two fundamental approaches, or styles, in stock and stock mutual fund investing. Growth investors seek companies that offer strong earnings growth while value investors seek stocks that appear to be undervalued in the marketplace.

How can you tell the difference between growth and value stocks? ›

Notably, growth stocks are more volatile than value stocks but have the potential to rise in price substantially. On the other hand, value stocks are low-risk, and offer regular dividends but can't fulfill short-term investing goals.

What is growth vs value stock metrics? ›

Growth stocks carry relatively lesser risk because their growth rate is high and increasing. They are relatively less sensitive to adverse economic conditions than the overall market. Hence, growth stocks are relatively less risky investments. Value stocks come with lower metric ratios because they are undervalued.

What is core vs growth vs value? ›

The value score is subtracted from the growth score. If the result is strongly negative, the stock's style is value; if the result is strongly positive, the stock is classified as growth. If the scores for value and growth are not substantially different, the stock is classified as 'core'.

What is the value vs growth in 2024? ›

We expect lackluster global earnings growth with downside for equities from current levels.” Against this backdrop, value stocks have a strong chance of outperforming their growth counterparts in 2024.

Can a stock be both growth and value? ›

Stocks are always fully represented by the combination of their growth and value weights. For example, a stock that is given a 20% weight in a Russell value index will have an 80% weight in the corresponding Russell growth index.

How do you analyze stock growth? ›

Growth investors can use fundamental analysis ratios to compare a stock's intrinsic (or true) value to its market price. This can help them determine whether a stock is overvalued or undervalued. Growth stocks that are overvalued can decline and eventually trade at a price that reflects its current fundamentals.

What is value vs growth management? ›

Value investing and growth investing are two different investing styles. Usually, value stocks present an opportunity to buy shares below their actual value, and growth stocks exhibit above-average revenue and earnings growth potential.

Do value stocks outperform growth? ›

Value premiums have often shown up quickly and in large magnitudes. For example, in years when value outperformed growth, the average premium was nearly 15%. On average, value stocks have outperformed growth stocks by 4.4% annually in the US since 1927, as Exhibit 1 shows.

Is it better to invest in growth or value stocks? ›

Value stocks have more limited upside potential and, therefore, can be safer investments than growth stocks.

Is small cap growth or value? ›

small-cap investing. Small-cap companies can be defined as growth or value companies: the growth companies are expected to grow their earnings at above-average rates, while the value companies are undervalued in price based on fundamentals.

What are the best metrics to evaluate growth stocks? ›

By considering metrics such as revenue growth rate, EPS growth, ROE, P/E ratio, FCF growth, and market share, investors can make informed decisions when investing in growth stocks.

What is the best metric for stock valuation? ›

Arguably one of the best stock valuation metrics, the price to earning ratio communicates how cheap or expensive a stock is. The lower the price to earning ratio is, the more undervalued a company is.

What is the relationship between growth and value stocks? ›

Certainly, there is usually a positive correlation between the two. Slow-growth companies often sell at low valuations and high-growth companies often sell at expensive valuations. In an attempt to simplify, the two continuums are often merged into one, with value at one end and growth at the other.

What is value vs growth Fama? ›

Fama and French define value stocks as those stocks that have high ratios of book value to market value and growth stocks as those that have low ratios of book value to market value.

Is growth considered a value? ›

Value companies are typically mature, with stable earnings. This means they often return higher dividends to investors. Meanwhile, growth companies often reinvest earnings into their operations to drive future expansion – resulting in a lower dividend yield.

What is the difference between growth and value in Morningstar? ›

The Morningstar US Value Index returned 12% in 2023. That's pretty disappointing compared with the 26.5% returns from the Morningstar US Market Index, which tracks stocks in every category, and the 38.5% returns on growth stocks.

What is the difference between Russell 1000 value and growth? ›

Companies are categorized by their size, sector, and financial valuation. The Russell 1000 Growth Index contains more expensive firms with higher expectations of financial progress, while the Russell 1000 Value Index includes companies trading at a discount due to mispricing or lower growth expectations.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Rev. Leonie Wyman

Last Updated:

Views: 5714

Rating: 4.9 / 5 (59 voted)

Reviews: 90% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Rev. Leonie Wyman

Birthday: 1993-07-01

Address: Suite 763 6272 Lang Bypass, New Xochitlport, VT 72704-3308

Phone: +22014484519944

Job: Banking Officer

Hobby: Sailing, Gaming, Basketball, Calligraphy, Mycology, Astronomy, Juggling

Introduction: My name is Rev. Leonie Wyman, I am a colorful, tasty, splendid, fair, witty, gorgeous, splendid person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.